So this is a tale from a suburban canvasser here, and not one I haven't heard or experienced myself before. Talk to the voter, ask if they're supporting Obama. Voter says, "well, he's so far up in the polls right now, my vote isn't going to make a difference so I probably won't bother to vote." I don't quite know whether to characterize this type of voter as apathetic, but it's an oddly solipsistic and simultaneously powerless world such folks live in, where on the one hand if they're called in as the one and only deciding vote they're perfectly willing to decide for all of us, but can't be bothered if they're just going to get swallowed up in a tide of other people voting.
Occasionally I see this as a side effect of the "politicians they're all alike" theme, which I think is propagated by the right wing in this country in part because it removes the middle from the conversation and leaves the committed bases of each party to duke it out. The more people who are turned off by the form of discourse, the fewer people get to make the actual decisions -- votes -- about who runs this country. In other words, our friend the voter who won't be moved because "they're all alike" enables oligarchy, by definition, over democracy.
Does the "I won't vote unless the polls are close" voter fall into the same category? It's hard to say. Mediaocracy, as it were, plays a role here -- who would know not to vote, if the media weren't controlling the story line? This is dangerous in both close and non-close contests. Obama is polling as high as 12% above McCain in recent days, which is really astounding given how close this state has been for a generation now in Presidential races (even in 1984, the race that broke my heart here, Mondale came within a couple of points of making Pennsylvania his second state in the electoral column.) But, the idiotic Bradley effect notwithstanding, it only takes a few percentage points of stay at homes to make th election closer -- and potentially stealable. We can't afford a close contest, in any state and certainly not in the electoral college after the last two elections. It's another reason I'm committed to staying here until the job is completely done -- November 5th.
So I say all this as an example of why Get-Out-The-Vote is the critical phase of the election. The argument's been made, the voters have chosen up sides within a margin of error. But getting them to the polls, making sure their votes count, and having democracy actually function has to happen. It's closing time.
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